Mt Rainier

Mt Rainier
Mt Rainier

Saturday, January 30, 2010

Balance of Risks - Photography and Society

Accident Scene on Alaskan Way Viaduct, Seattle


With added focus on security, photographers may come under increased scrutiny when photographing in public. In the United Kingdom., increased restrictions have led to photographers meeting to protest the strictness of the new rules and their implementation as discussed in a Guardian.co.uk article . Understanding the processes that each side brings to an encounter can help defuse a situation.

Photographers understand that the law gives them the right to photograph in public places. Their focus is the image, the story, and their rights to photograph. They may view attempts to prevent them from photographing in public as infringing on their rights in a free society. Freedom of expression helps to maintain a free nation and curtailment of these rights endangers that same free expression.

The police are men and women who put their lives on the line to protect us. The speeding driver they stop may have an outstanding warrant and a gun. The man photographing a structure or facility may be abetting an act of terrorism . The police are trained to be vigilant because in doing so they protect both the public and themselves from danger. These adverse risks may be those at the long end of the bell curve -- statistically the chance the photographer is a terrorist is very small. However the police officer must always consider the risks at the end of the bell curve because of the considerable consequence of ignoring a real problem.

This leads to the topic of Type I and Type II error. Consider if the null-hypothesis is that "the photographer is a terrorist". A Type I error would be to reject the null-hypothesis (
"the photographer is a terrorist") when it is actually true. A Type II error would be to accept the null-hypothesis ("the photographer is a terrorist") when it is actually false and should have been rejected. A low Type I error rate would have a high specificity. Rejecting the null-hypothesis when the null-hypothesis is true could happen, for example, when a police officer questions a photographer who is photographing a public structure, releases him, and he turns out to be a terrorist. A low Type II error rate would have a high sensitivity. An example of Type II error would be if the policeman treats the photographer as a terrorist and he turns out to be just a photographer.

Ultimately, setting appropriate Type I and Type II error standards is the job of the governments, and thus the people whom they represent. How many rights do you want to tread upon in exchange for "perfect" protection from risk? What degree of risk of personal property loss and loss of lives are you willing to accept in exchange for "perfect" freedom of expression? Laws must reflect these conscious decisions about how civil society should be governed.

While we need to be concerned about being protected from terrorism, we also need to make sure our rights aren't whittled away in the process, thus undercutting the very foundation of our freedoms. This risk of losing our rights is a byproduct of decreasing the Type I error rate while allowing the Type II error rate to rise. This can be restated as interrogating more photographers in order to cut the risk of a terrorist photographing a target building. It's in the best interest of society to have all the relevant variables well defined and set forth in the law and procedures and to maintain a healthy balance of risk.


This is a process that should involve police and photographers as well as lawmakers and other public officials as they seek to understand the challenges that each party faces, and seek to cooperate in solving the underlying problems. This is a discussion that involves many viewpoints, including this blog entry regarding an interaction with a security guard.


Friday, January 15, 2010

Risk


Fishing Boat off Cape Arago, Oregon (barely visible at right)

In all manner of things, large and small, we weigh our risks. Do we bring our umbrella with us to the theater or walk in the light rain? Do we take the first parking space or try to find a closer one and risk losing our space? We process these types of risk/benefit decisions continually as these everyday decisions are thrown at us in the course of our lives. The relative weight we give these outcomes changes over time and by circumstance. For example, if we are fighting off a cold we may be more apt to bring the umbrella.

Larger risks represent greater challenges. The stakes are higher, more is on the line and the effect of the risk may be more difficult to quantify. In the image shown of the fishing boat off Cape Arago in rough weather, there are potential risks involving life and property with deteriorating conditions. The sturdiness of the vessel, condition of its engine and electronics and human elements all have impacts on the risk equation as do the emerging weather and sea conditions.

Major geological events present even greater risks, with very low probabilities of occurrence and severe loss potential. Haiti's 2010, 7.0 earthquake represents the actual realization of earthquake risk, expressed in its full and devastating horror. Before the 7.0 earthquake, there was earthquake potentiality. Afterward,
there has been pain, loss and devastation, as the world continues to watch the situation unfold.

It has been heartening to see the global response, coming to the aid of Haiti. The World's hopes and wishes are with the people of Haiti and those providing relief. The Help for Haiti icon directs the reader to the White House site for Haiti Earthquake Relief.


Help for Haiti: Learn What You Can Do


Friday, January 8, 2010

The Fog of Concept (or the Concept of Fog)


Concepts, thoughts, and ideas are mental constructs. They are expressed in our environment in a myriad of ways. A concept evokes perceptions and aids internal processes in forward thinking risk assessment.


Two or more separate concepts may be associated with the same name. This can cause confusion if we are trying to draw an association with one particular concept. Disambiguation exists to solve this confusion. For example, the concept “orange” can refer to the fruit or to the color. Disambiguation would ask for clarification as to which was meant.


Concepts can have expression in the physical and mental spheres. An example is the concept of fog. The image I show was taken near Cayuse Pass, Mt Rainier National Park in the mid morning. Fog is a cloud at ground level. The temperature is sufficiently close to the dew point such that moisture has condensed into droplets impeding visibility.


The image shows little except fog and the road and the ghost of a motorcyclist. It gives the companion senses of risk, lack of visibility and the unknown.


On the other side of the mental/physical construct we have the mental fog -- a state of mental confusion or awareness. We are surrounded by too many options but cannot choose between them. They are too complicated, and the weighting of options present nearly equal risks and rewards that confound us. We are stuck going backwards and forwards. We have lost our sense of direction.


The motorcyclist in the image has made a conscious decision to continue into the (physical) fog. He will have used risk assessment to decide whether to continue into the fog based on experiences which are different than those of others. Thus we see that concepts are experienced in different ways by different people, with different outcomes.